ilmscore | Recession Risk Predictions
N/A
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 6
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 4
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The Atlanta Federal Reserve estimated a 2.4% decline in Q1 GDP, which would mark the first contraction since 2022.
"the Atlanta Federal Reserve estimated that first quarter GDP May decline by an annualized adjusted r..."
Mar 19, 2025
Incorrect
J.P. Morgan estimates a 40% probability of a recession due to US policies.
"JP Morgan put their current recession odds at 40% owing to extreme US policies"
Mar 19, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve Bank is aggressively cutting rates due to the highlighted risk of an economic slowdown and to prevent a potential recession.
"the risk that the Federal Reserve Bank has highlighted along with many other economists is that ther..."
Sep 19, 2024
Pending
Despite popular opinion, there remains a risk of a hard landing or recession in the United States.
"there's still risks of a hard Landing in the United States meaning there still risks of a recession ..."
May 30, 2024
Pending
Larry Summers warns of a potential recession and the failure of a soft landing due to the unsustainable rate of job creation compared to population growth.
"Larry Summers the former treasury secretary is warning us that we could still end up in a recession ..."
Jul 14, 2023
Pending
Negative GDP in Q2 could officially trigger a recession.
"if we stop spending money and we get at negative gdp in q2 that could put us in an official recessio..."
Jun 3, 2022
Pending